Ferguson Jenkins Steve Carlton |
Since 1900, 34 pitchers have thrown 250 or more complete games in their Major League careers. The leader, Walter Johnson, completed 531 games between 1907 and 1927. Complete games were, of course, much more common in the early days of baseball. Only seven pitchers who started the majority of their games during or after the 1950 season appear on this list: Warren Spahn (382), Robin Roberts (305), Gaylord Perry (303), Early Wynn (289), Ferguson Jenkins (267), Bob Gibson (255), and Steve Carlton (254). Carlton, the youngest of this bunch, threw his last complete game in 1987. Since the year 2000, Hall of Famer Roy Halladay leads all pitchers with 65 complete games. Livan Hernandez is second with 39. Likely Hall of Famer Zach Greinke, who was a rookie in 2004, has just 17.
As a baseball loving kid growing up in the 1950s, I was a
huge fan of the complete game. I would pour over the backs of my baseball cards
looking for that CG column or a note in the blurb like, “Last year Robin led
all of baseball with 33 complete games.” That “Robin”, of course, would be
Robin Roberts, the Hall of Fame Phillies pitcher who accomplished that feat in
1953. From July of 1952 to June of 1953 Roberts threw 28 consecutive complete
games. In those days management valued pitchers who completed what they
started. Salaries were low, pitching staffs were smaller, and pitchers were
expected to complete what they started.
Under baseball’s indentured servitude rules at the time,
contracts were signed year-to-year. With no long-term contracts, front offices
tended not to think long term. No matter really that after six straight seasons
of tossing 300+ innings, Roberts lost the edge on his fastball. The object was
to get the most out of your “horse” pitchers as you could and then move on.
Some pitchers, like Warren Spahn, adapted well as they aged, others like
Roberts struggled.
Of course, no one needs to know these statistics to know
that baseball no longer values the complete game. The game has become
increasingly specialized, with set-up men, closers, and even relief pitchers as
“openers” for ball games over the past 40+ years. The death of the complete
game is completely understandable. The object of the game of baseball is to win
the game. If a team has a better chance to win the game throwing a starter for
six innings and following with three relief pitchers firing 97+ mph bullets,
that is the way they are going to go.
Draftee signing bonuses and long-term contracts also play a
role. When you have invested a few million dollars in a young arm, you want to
protect your investment. Young pitchers are kept on strict pitch counts as they
progress through the minors and when and if they do get to the major leagues,
the instructions are to go as hard as you can for as long as you can and then
we’ll bring in the specialists. Five innings? No problem. Six innings? A
quality start. Seven innings? A Hall of Famer.
I get it, but still I wonder if something more than just
nostalgia value is lost when we devalue the complete game. Back when pitchers
were expected to pitch complete games, they were, out of necessity, forced to
learn a wide variety of pitches. Pitchers wanted to give the hitters a different
“look” when facing them for the third or fourth time in a game. Pitchers like
Spahn, his teammate Lew Burdette, and others developed a broad repertoire of
curveballs, sliders, change ups and screwballs (and in Burdette's case a spitball) to keep the hitters off balance
and extend their effectiveness on the mound beyond the sixth inning.
Major League hitters get to the Major Leagues because they
can hit a fastball. Eventually, I believe they will adapt to the 100 mile an
hour fastball, just as they adapted to the 95 mile an hour fastball just a few
years ago. The key to getting batters out consistently is keeping them off
balance. All the great flamethrowers from Christy Mathewson to Sandy Koufax to
Nolan Ryan have needed more than just the fastball and each developed
devastating breaking pitches. If today’s pitchers are forced to go longer in games,
they are going to be required to develop a more complete repertoire of pitches and
ultimately, I think the game will be better for it.
In fact, I think it is already happening. Probably the most
talked about pitch in the last two years has been the cutter. The cutter, a
sort of half fastball, half slider, is meant to upset the batter’s timing
enough to keep the ball of the barrel of the bat. It is more of a weak contact
pitch than a strikeout pitch. Another slight change off the fastball that is
occurring more and more in pitcher’s repertoire is an old pitch in new clothing
– the sinker. A sinker used to be a pitch for pitchers who didn’t have quite
enough on their fastball, so they got movement on the ball by throwing a
two-seam fastball that sunk down on the strike zone. Now hard throwers like
Miami’s Sandy Alcantara have added the power sinker to their arsenal. Alcantara
throws his about 96-97 mph, compared to his 98-100 fastball. The Phillies Zach
Wheeler is another elite pitcher who has gone to the power sinker. Even the
hardest throwing starting pitchers are recognizing that pure gas is not the
only answer.
Alcantara is the poster boy for my argument for having
pitchers go deeper into games and for putting the complete game back in play.
He leads the major leagues in innings pitched and complete games this year. And
while his complete game total of four is modest by 1950s standards, his
workload has allowed him to refine an incredibly balanced pitch repertoire. Alcantara
throws each of his pitches, four-seam fastball, sinker, slider, and changeup, about
25% of the time. Both Alcantara’s power and his change of speeds keep hitters
off balance and have made him the premiere pitcher in the National League this
year.
I would not argue that pitchers should pile up 300+ innings
a year as they did in the old days. The five-man rotation, with the occasional
sixth starter, seems a smart way to go, limiting the top pitchers to 30 starts
and 225 or so innings seems about right. But expecting the very best pitchers to
stay on the mound, attempting to finish the task they started every time out
seems to me to be an unqualified good. The best pitchers get better, and the
fans can look forward to discussions about their favorite pitchers throwing
those two-hitters, or working out of a late inning jam, or pitching a
nine-inning shutout.
The complete game is deeply rooted in the popular lore of
baseball. It has had its own column in baseball statistical charts since the
beginnings of the game. Time for it to make a comeback.
good article/argument
ReplyDeleteInteresting article and take. At some point a team will allow pitchers to go the distance more often, win and the rest will follow.
ReplyDeleteConcerning Robin Roberts, it’s significant that even in the days of complete games he was often working the equivalent of three to five complete game innings compared to most starting pitchers. His managers would use him in relief a half dozen or more times in his peak.
He did get some shoulder problems from all the innings though he solved this problem after the ‘57 season by following the advice of Ray Fisher his old Vermont League coach and resting his arm rather than throwing regularly in offseason workouts.
In ‘58 and ‘59 the consensus of the hitters was he had regained his fastball with plenty of movement. Unfortunately by now he was pitching for a last place club, winning 17 and 15 games. Most likely he would have won 20 both seasons pitching for a first division club.