Research Articles

Tuesday, September 27, 2022

A Plea for the Return of the Complete Game

Ferguson Jenkins               Steve Carlton

This article first appeared in Here's the Pitch, the newsletter of the Internet Baseball Writers Association of America (IBWAA).

Since 1900, 34 pitchers have thrown 250 or more complete games in their Major League careers. The leader, Walter Johnson, completed 531 games between 1907 and 1927. Complete games were, of course, much more common in the early days of baseball. Only seven pitchers who started the majority of their games during or after the 1950 season appear on this list: Warren Spahn (382), Robin Roberts (305), Gaylord Perry (303), Early Wynn (289), Ferguson Jenkins (267), Bob Gibson (255), and Steve Carlton (254). Carlton, the youngest of this bunch, threw his last complete game in 1987. Since the year 2000, Hall of Famer Roy Halladay leads all pitchers with 65 complete games. Livan Hernandez is second with 39. Likely Hall of Famer Zach Greinke, who was a rookie in 2004, has just 17.

As a baseball loving kid growing up in the 1950s, I was a huge fan of the complete game. I would pour over the backs of my baseball cards looking for that CG column or a note in the blurb like, “Last year Robin led all of baseball with 33 complete games.” That “Robin”, of course, would be Robin Roberts, the Hall of Fame Phillies pitcher who accomplished that feat in 1953. From July of 1952 to June of 1953 Roberts threw 28 consecutive complete games. In those days management valued pitchers who completed what they started. Salaries were low, pitching staffs were smaller, and pitchers were expected to complete what they started.

Under baseball’s indentured servitude rules at the time, contracts were signed year-to-year. With no long-term contracts, front offices tended not to think long term. No matter really that after six straight seasons of tossing 300+ innings, Roberts lost the edge on his fastball. The object was to get the most out of your “horse” pitchers as you could and then move on. Some pitchers, like Warren Spahn, adapted well as they aged, others like Roberts struggled.

Of course, no one needs to know these statistics to know that baseball no longer values the complete game. The game has become increasingly specialized, with set-up men, closers, and even relief pitchers as “openers” for ball games over the past 40+ years. The death of the complete game is completely understandable. The object of the game of baseball is to win the game. If a team has a better chance to win the game throwing a starter for six innings and following with three relief pitchers firing 97+ mph bullets, that is the way they are going to go.

Draftee signing bonuses and long-term contracts also play a role. When you have invested a few million dollars in a young arm, you want to protect your investment. Young pitchers are kept on strict pitch counts as they progress through the minors and when and if they do get to the major leagues, the instructions are to go as hard as you can for as long as you can and then we’ll bring in the specialists. Five innings? No problem. Six innings? A quality start. Seven innings? A Hall of Famer.

I get it, but still I wonder if something more than just nostalgia value is lost when we devalue the complete game. Back when pitchers were expected to pitch complete games, they were, out of necessity, forced to learn a wide variety of pitches. Pitchers wanted to give the hitters a different “look” when facing them for the third or fourth time in a game. Pitchers like Spahn, his teammate Lew Burdette, and others developed a broad repertoire of curveballs, sliders, change ups and screwballs (and in Burdette's case a spitball) to keep the hitters off balance and extend their effectiveness on the mound beyond the sixth inning.

Major League hitters get to the Major Leagues because they can hit a fastball. Eventually, I believe they will adapt to the 100 mile an hour fastball, just as they adapted to the 95 mile an hour fastball just a few years ago. The key to getting batters out consistently is keeping them off balance. All the great flamethrowers from Christy Mathewson to Sandy Koufax to Nolan Ryan have needed more than just the fastball and each developed devastating breaking pitches. If today’s pitchers are forced to go longer in games, they are going to be required to develop a more complete repertoire of pitches and ultimately, I think the game will be better for it.

In fact, I think it is already happening. Probably the most talked about pitch in the last two years has been the cutter. The cutter, a sort of half fastball, half slider, is meant to upset the batter’s timing enough to keep the ball of the barrel of the bat. It is more of a weak contact pitch than a strikeout pitch. Another slight change off the fastball that is occurring more and more in pitcher’s repertoire is an old pitch in new clothing – the sinker. A sinker used to be a pitch for pitchers who didn’t have quite enough on their fastball, so they got movement on the ball by throwing a two-seam fastball that sunk down on the strike zone. Now hard throwers like Miami’s Sandy Alcantara have added the power sinker to their arsenal. Alcantara throws his about 96-97 mph, compared to his 98-100 fastball. The Phillies Zach Wheeler is another elite pitcher who has gone to the power sinker. Even the hardest throwing starting pitchers are recognizing that pure gas is not the only answer.

Alcantara is the poster boy for my argument for having pitchers go deeper into games and for putting the complete game back in play. He leads the major leagues in innings pitched and complete games this year. And while his complete game total of four is modest by 1950s standards, his workload has allowed him to refine an incredibly balanced pitch repertoire. Alcantara throws each of his pitches, four-seam fastball, sinker, slider, and changeup, about 25% of the time. Both Alcantara’s power and his change of speeds keep hitters off balance and have made him the premiere pitcher in the National League this year.

I would not argue that pitchers should pile up 300+ innings a year as they did in the old days. The five-man rotation, with the occasional sixth starter, seems a smart way to go, limiting the top pitchers to 30 starts and 225 or so innings seems about right. But expecting the very best pitchers to stay on the mound, attempting to finish the task they started every time out seems to me to be an unqualified good. The best pitchers get better, and the fans can look forward to discussions about their favorite pitchers throwing those two-hitters, or working out of a late inning jam, or pitching a nine-inning shutout.

The complete game is deeply rooted in the popular lore of baseball. It has had its own column in baseball statistical charts since the beginnings of the game. Time for it to make a comeback.

 


2 comments:

  1. good article/argument

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  2. Interesting article and take. At some point a team will allow pitchers to go the distance more often, win and the rest will follow.

    Concerning Robin Roberts, it’s significant that even in the days of complete games he was often working the equivalent of three to five complete game innings compared to most starting pitchers. His managers would use him in relief a half dozen or more times in his peak.

    He did get some shoulder problems from all the innings though he solved this problem after the ‘57 season by following the advice of Ray Fisher his old Vermont League coach and resting his arm rather than throwing regularly in offseason workouts.

    In ‘58 and ‘59 the consensus of the hitters was he had regained his fastball with plenty of movement. Unfortunately by now he was pitching for a last place club, winning 17 and 15 games. Most likely he would have won 20 both seasons pitching for a first division club.

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